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Red90
46921.0
83010.8
365620.9
Blue39
97354.2
440515.9
653813.7
89%Model gave it11%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions582902040801009039

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
469
#3
21.01.2
20.321.5
Auto4.5
Teleop14.6
End2.0
red by 5.1
4405
#20
15.90.7
15.015.7
Auto7.1
Teleop7.0
End1.9
Second
20.91.2
19.420.6
Auto7.2
Teleop11.4
End2.4
red by 7.2
6538
#21
13.70.6
11.111.7
Auto9.4
Teleop3.7
End0.6
Third
830
#13
10.81.2
9.410.6
Auto6.9
Teleop3.9
End0.0
red by 6.6
9735
#38
4.20.6
3.64.2
Auto1.8
Teleop1.8
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
31%Melody oddsEarned9%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
18%Ensemble oddsEarned7%Ensemble oddsMissed