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Red55
661523.4
148122.5
947.9
Blue63
118818.2
83010.8
21713.3
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions614420801005563

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.40.0
23.023.0
Auto9.5
Teleop12.2
End1.6
red by 5.1
1188
#15
18.20.4
18.018.3
Auto9.2
Teleop7.2
End1.8
Second
1481
#11
22.50.0
22.222.2
Auto11.9
Teleop8.5
End2.1
red by 9.2
217
#24
13.30.4
13.113.4
Auto3.9
Teleop8.4
End1.0
Third
94
#14
7.90.0
7.67.6
Auto0.9
Teleop6.2
End0.8
blue by 2.9
830
#13
10.80.4
10.610.9
Auto6.9
Teleop3.9
End0.0