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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions254301020305060701741

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6538
#15
9.60.8
7.46.6
Auto5.7
Teleop3.5
End0.4
blue by 9.0
8612
#17
18.60.5
11.511.9
Auto9.1
Teleop8.5
End1.1
Second
7814
#19
6.70.8
8.47.6
Auto3.8
Teleop1.3
End1.6
blue by 8.0
4956
#23
14.80.5
10.210.6
Auto6.0
Teleop7.0
End1.8
Third
9228
#30
6.50.8
8.77.8
Auto4.1
Teleop1.3
End1.1
blue by 8.1
573
#9
14.60.5
15.215.6
Auto4.7
Teleop8.4
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
17%Melody oddsMissed21%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed9%Ensemble oddsMissed