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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2835010204050603052

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9208
#12
19.80.2
12.913.1
Auto8.8
Teleop8.1
End2.9
red by 0.5
7174
#10
19.32.3
12.314.6
Auto8.4
Teleop8.2
End2.6
Second
12.50.2
9.49.6
Auto4.3
Teleop7.2
End1.0
red by 0.7
3452
#16
11.82.3
11.513.8
Auto4.1
Teleop6.8
End0.9
Third
7109
#18
7.00.2
3.94.1
Auto2.2
Teleop3.8
End1.1
blue by 3.9
9758
#28
10.92.3
7.29.5
Auto3.8
Teleop6.6
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
13%Melody oddsMissed13%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed8%Ensemble oddsMissed