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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions472801020406070519

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.11.2
14.215.4
Auto11.0
Teleop13.0
End1.1
red by 14.8
5314
#13
10.42.0
13.211.2
Auto3.2
Teleop6.8
End0.4
Second
22.91.2
14.015.2
Auto6.7
Teleop13.0
End3.2
red by 18.5
9754
#31
4.42.0
6.14.1
Auto2.3
Teleop2.0
End0.1
Third
201
#27
9.31.2
12.113.3
Auto3.7
Teleop4.0
End1.5
red by 6.2
8297
#32
3.02.0
7.95.9
Auto2.0
Teleop1.0
End0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
15%Melody oddsEarned18%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed8%Ensemble oddsMissed