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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions40280102050601630

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5535
#22
13.02.1
9.57.4
Auto4.9
Teleop6.3
End1.8
blue by 3.4
4325
#11
16.40.3
9.49.7
Auto8.1
Teleop7.0
End1.3
Second
5462
#26
9.82.1
14.312.3
Auto4.2
Teleop4.7
End0.8
blue by 2.0
3452
#16
11.80.3
11.111.5
Auto4.1
Teleop6.8
End0.9
Third
5182
#33
5.72.1
10.78.6
Auto2.6
Teleop2.1
End1.0
blue by 1.0
7809
#21
6.70.3
6.66.9
Auto2.7
Teleop2.6
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
16%Melody oddsMissed14%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed9%Ensemble oddsMissed