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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions29530204060802851

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8612
#17
18.60.1
11.611.5
Auto9.1
Teleop8.5
End1.1
blue by 8.9
27.50.4
17.718.1
Auto8.2
Teleop18.2
End1.0
Second
6538
#15
9.60.1
7.57.4
Auto5.7
Teleop3.5
End0.4
blue by 5.0
573
#9
14.60.4
14.715.2
Auto4.7
Teleop8.4
End1.5
Third
4337
#29
8.60.1
9.89.7
Auto3.5
Teleop4.7
End0.5
blue by 1.7
5314
#13
10.40.4
12.813.2
Auto3.2
Teleop6.8
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
15%Melody oddsMissed21%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed11%Ensemble oddsMissed