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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions30560102040506070803336

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5535
#22
13.00.8
10.39.5
Auto4.9
Teleop6.3
End1.8
blue by 20.2
33.21.3
21.219.9
Auto14.0
Teleop18.0
End1.2
Second
12.50.8
10.29.4
Auto4.3
Teleop7.2
End1.0
blue by 6.8
19.31.3
12.711.5
Auto5.7
Teleop12.0
End1.5
Third
9228
#30
6.50.8
9.48.7
Auto4.1
Teleop1.3
End1.1
blue by 12.7
7174
#10
19.31.3
13.612.3
Auto8.4
Teleop8.2
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
22%Melody oddsMissed29%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed11%Ensemble oddsMissed