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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3733102030405060358

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9208
#12
19.80.2
13.112.9
Auto8.8
Teleop8.1
End2.9
red by 3.4
4325
#11
16.42.5
11.99.4
Auto8.1
Teleop7.0
End1.3
Second
9758
#28
10.90.2
7.47.2
Auto3.8
Teleop6.6
End0.5
blue by 0.8
3875
#25
11.62.5
12.49.8
Auto3.8
Teleop6.3
End1.5
Third
201
#27
9.30.2
12.312.1
Auto3.7
Teleop4.0
End1.5
red by 2.3
7109
#18
7.02.5
6.43.9
Auto2.2
Teleop3.8
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
17%Melody oddsMissed17%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed9%Ensemble oddsMissed