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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions27220501001502634

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9566
#14
13.40.3
7.67.3
Auto3.1
Teleop9.3
End1.0
red by 0.9
12.50.4
10.210.6
Auto4.3
Teleop7.2
End1.0
Second
9758
#28
10.90.3
9.69.3
Auto3.8
Teleop6.6
End0.5
red by 1.2
6538
#15
9.60.4
6.16.4
Auto5.7
Teleop3.5
End0.4
Third
9228
#30
6.50.3
6.66.3
Auto4.1
Teleop1.3
End1.1
red by 0.3
6588
#20
6.20.4
4.34.7
Auto3.9
Teleop1.2
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
12%Melody oddsMissed9%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
6%Ensemble oddsMissed7%Ensemble oddsMissed