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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions225201030406070802644

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
15.91.4
12.911.5
Auto5.3
Teleop7.9
End2.6
blue by 7.7
302
#6
23.60.5
20.820.3
Auto10.1
Teleop10.8
End2.8
Second
3875
#25
11.61.4
7.46.0
Auto3.8
Teleop6.3
End1.5
blue by 3.0
573
#9
14.60.5
15.615.1
Auto4.7
Teleop8.4
End1.5
Third
8297
#32
3.01.4
3.62.1
Auto2.0
Teleop1.0
End0.1
red by 2.6
7810
#34
0.50.5
7.06.5
Auto-1.1
Teleop0.9
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
11%Melody oddsMissed27%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsMissed8%Ensemble oddsMissed