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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions562304060807826

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27.53.5
18.121.6
Auto8.2
Teleop18.2
End1.0
red by 14.1
9566
#14
13.40.5
8.17.6
Auto3.1
Teleop9.3
End1.0
Second
22.93.5
15.218.7
Auto6.7
Teleop13.0
End3.2
red by 11.4
4983
#24
11.50.5
10.19.6
Auto4.6
Teleop6.4
End0.6
Third
9208
#12
19.83.5
13.116.6
Auto8.8
Teleop8.1
End2.9
red by 10.2
6538
#15
9.60.5
6.66.1
Auto5.7
Teleop3.5
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
30%Melody oddsEarned11%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsEarned7%Ensemble oddsMissed