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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions32291520253540453928

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7174
#10
19.30.6
14.615.2
Auto8.4
Teleop8.2
End2.6
red by 0.6
8612
#17
18.60.2
11.912.1
Auto9.1
Teleop8.5
End1.1
Second
4325
#11
16.40.6
9.710.3
Auto8.1
Teleop7.0
End1.3
red by 9.7
7814
#19
6.70.2
7.67.8
Auto3.8
Teleop1.3
End1.6
Third
9754
#31
4.40.6
4.14.7
Auto2.3
Teleop2.0
End0.1
red by 4.0
7810
#34
0.50.2
6.87.0
Auto-1.1
Teleop0.9
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
11%Melody oddsMissed10%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed7%Ensemble oddsMissed