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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions332401020405060702937

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4956
#23
14.80.0
10.610.7
Auto6.0
Teleop7.0
End1.8
blue by 4.5
19.31.6
11.513.0
Auto5.7
Teleop12.0
End1.5
Second
9758
#28
10.90.0
9.59.6
Auto3.8
Teleop6.6
End0.5
blue by 2.2
5535
#22
13.01.6
7.49.0
Auto4.9
Teleop6.3
End1.8
Third
5182
#33
5.70.0
8.68.6
Auto2.6
Teleop2.1
End1.0
blue by 1.3
7109
#18
7.01.6
4.15.7
Auto2.2
Teleop3.8
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
11%Melody oddsMissed12%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsMissed8%Ensemble oddsMissed