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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4341253035455055603945

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33.20.1
19.920.0
Auto14.0
Teleop18.0
End1.2
red by 8.1
25.10.6
15.416.0
Auto11.0
Teleop13.0
End1.1
Second
5314
#13
10.40.1
11.211.2
Auto3.2
Teleop6.8
End0.4
blue by 2.1
12.50.6
9.610.2
Auto4.3
Teleop7.2
End1.0
Third
4337
#29
8.60.1
7.37.4
Auto3.5
Teleop4.7
End0.5
blue by 1.1
5462
#26
9.80.6
12.312.9
Auto4.2
Teleop4.7
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
27%Melody oddsMissed18%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed8%Ensemble oddsMissed