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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions302910204050167

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3452
#16
11.81.2
13.812.6
Auto4.1
Teleop6.8
End0.9
red by 2.5
201
#27
9.32.3
13.310.9
Auto3.7
Teleop4.0
End1.5
Second
9228
#30
6.51.2
7.86.6
Auto4.1
Teleop1.3
End1.1
blue by 0.2
7809
#21
6.72.3
6.94.5
Auto2.7
Teleop2.6
End1.3
Third
6588
#20
6.21.2
5.64.3
Auto3.9
Teleop1.2
End1.1
red by 3.2
8297
#32
3.02.3
5.93.6
Auto2.0
Teleop1.0
End0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
16%Melody oddsMissed16%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsMissed7%Ensemble oddsMissed