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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions504801001502002503003507254

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33.23.0
20.023.0
Auto14.0
Teleop18.0
End1.2
red by 9.6
302
#6
23.60.6
20.320.9
Auto10.1
Teleop10.8
End2.8
Second
8612
#17
18.63.0
12.115.2
Auto9.1
Teleop8.5
End1.1
blue by 4.3
22.90.6
18.719.3
Auto6.7
Teleop13.0
End3.2
Third
3452
#16
11.83.0
12.615.6
Auto4.1
Teleop6.8
End0.9
red by 5.1
7809
#21
6.70.6
4.55.1
Auto2.7
Teleop2.6
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
16%Melody oddsEarned30%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed11%Ensemble oddsEarned