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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions512304060801003229

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9208
#12
19.81.8
16.614.8
Auto8.8
Teleop8.1
End2.9
red by 5.0
4956
#23
14.80.5
10.711.2
Auto6.0
Teleop7.0
End1.8
Second
15.91.8
11.59.7
Auto5.3
Teleop7.9
End2.6
red by 2.9
5535
#22
13.00.5
9.09.5
Auto4.9
Teleop6.3
End1.8
Third
573
#9
14.61.8
15.113.3
Auto4.7
Teleop8.4
End1.5
red by 10.2
9754
#31
4.40.5
4.75.2
Auto2.3
Teleop2.0
End0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
22%Melody oddsMissed9%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
11%Ensemble oddsMissed7%Ensemble oddsMissed