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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions33321525303540451551

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3875
#25
11.61.6
6.04.3
Auto3.8
Teleop6.3
End1.5
blue by 7.7
19.31.3
13.014.3
Auto5.7
Teleop12.0
End1.5
Second
5462
#26
9.81.6
12.911.3
Auto4.2
Teleop4.7
End0.8
red by 3.0
7814
#19
6.71.3
7.89.1
Auto3.8
Teleop1.3
End1.6
Third
201
#27
9.31.6
10.99.3
Auto3.7
Teleop4.0
End1.5
red by 3.5
5182
#33
5.71.3
8.69.9
Auto2.6
Teleop2.1
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
18%Melody oddsMissed10%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed7%Ensemble oddsMissed