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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions155804080100838

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4337
#29
8.61.8
7.45.6
Auto3.5
Teleop4.7
End0.5
blue by 15.0
302
#6
23.61.9
20.919.1
Auto10.1
Teleop10.8
End2.8
Second
9754
#31
4.41.8
5.23.5
Auto2.3
Teleop2.0
End0.1
blue by 7.3
3452
#16
11.81.9
15.613.7
Auto4.1
Teleop6.8
End0.9
Third
7810
#34
0.51.8
6.54.7
Auto-1.1
Teleop0.9
End0.7
blue by 9.9
5314
#13
10.41.9
11.29.4
Auto3.2
Teleop6.8
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
7%Melody oddsMissed26%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
6%Ensemble oddsMissed11%Ensemble oddsMissed