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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3728010204050604535

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7174
#10
19.30.3
16.016.3
Auto8.4
Teleop8.2
End2.6
red by 4.5
4956
#23
14.80.9
11.212.1
Auto6.0
Teleop7.0
End1.8
Second
9566
#14
13.40.3
7.37.6
Auto3.1
Teleop9.3
End1.0
red by 4.1
201
#27
9.30.9
9.310.2
Auto3.7
Teleop4.0
End1.5
Third
7814
#19
6.70.3
9.19.4
Auto3.8
Teleop1.3
End1.6
red by 0.2
9228
#30
6.50.9
6.37.2
Auto4.1
Teleop1.3
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
8%Melody oddsMissed17%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
6%Ensemble oddsMissed6%Ensemble oddsMissed