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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions16350102030405060702348

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4983
#24
11.50.7
10.310.9
Auto4.6
Teleop6.4
End0.6
blue by 13.6
25.10.9
16.917.8
Auto11.0
Teleop13.0
End1.1
Second
6588
#20
6.20.7
4.75.3
Auto3.9
Teleop1.2
End1.1
blue by 3.4
6538
#15
9.60.9
6.47.3
Auto5.7
Teleop3.5
End0.4
Third
8297
#32
3.00.7
2.12.8
Auto2.0
Teleop1.0
End0.1
blue by 3.9
7109
#18
7.00.9
6.47.3
Auto2.2
Teleop3.8
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
8%Melody oddsMissed16%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
6%Ensemble oddsMissed6%Ensemble oddsEarned