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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions563202040801007929

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27.51.0
22.523.6
Auto8.2
Teleop18.2
End1.0
red by 7.7
9208
#12
19.80.3
14.814.5
Auto8.8
Teleop8.1
End2.9
Second
8612
#17
18.61.0
15.216.2
Auto9.1
Teleop8.5
End1.1
red by 8.9
5462
#26
9.80.3
11.311.0
Auto4.2
Teleop4.7
End0.8
Third
5182
#33
5.71.0
9.911.0
Auto2.6
Teleop2.1
End1.0
blue by 2.9
4337
#29
8.60.3
5.65.3
Auto3.5
Teleop4.7
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
36%Melody oddsEarned12%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsEarned10%Ensemble oddsMissed