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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1152020406080100666

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9228
#30
6.51.2
7.26.0
Auto4.1
Teleop1.3
End1.1
blue by 21.0
27.52.7
23.626.2
Auto8.2
Teleop18.2
End1.0
Second
8297
#32
3.01.2
2.81.6
Auto2.0
Teleop1.0
End0.1
blue by 12.9
15.92.7
13.115.8
Auto5.3
Teleop7.9
End2.6
Third
7810
#34
0.51.2
4.73.5
Auto-1.1
Teleop0.9
End0.7
blue by 8.1
4337
#29
8.62.7
5.37.9
Auto3.5
Teleop4.7
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
8%Melody oddsMissed38%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
5%Ensemble oddsMissed13%Ensemble oddsMissed