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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions374002060803932

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7174
#10
19.30.4
16.316.6
Auto8.4
Teleop8.2
End2.6
red by 0.6
8612
#17
18.60.4
16.215.8
Auto9.1
Teleop8.5
End1.1
Second
4956
#23
14.80.4
12.112.5
Auto6.0
Teleop7.0
End1.8
red by 3.9
9758
#28
10.90.4
8.48.0
Auto3.8
Teleop6.6
End0.5
Third
6588
#20
6.20.4
5.35.7
Auto3.9
Teleop1.2
End1.1
blue by 3.5
5462
#26
9.80.4
11.010.6
Auto4.2
Teleop4.7
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
8%Melody oddsMissed15%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
6%Ensemble oddsMissed9%Ensemble oddsMissed