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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions393502060801001204619

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4325
#11
16.40.1
14.714.8
Auto8.1
Teleop7.0
End1.3
red by 4.9
4983
#24
11.51.5
10.99.5
Auto4.6
Teleop6.4
End0.6
Second
12.50.1
11.711.8
Auto4.3
Teleop7.2
End1.0
red by 3.2
201
#27
9.31.5
10.28.8
Auto3.7
Teleop4.0
End1.5
Third
5314
#13
10.40.1
8.58.6
Auto3.2
Teleop6.8
End0.4
red by 4.7
5182
#33
5.71.5
11.09.5
Auto2.6
Teleop2.1
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
17%Melody oddsMissed16%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
5%Ensemble oddsMissed9%Ensemble oddsMissed