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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions25460204060802774

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
573
#9
14.60.2
14.414.6
Auto4.7
Teleop8.4
End1.5
blue by 18.6
33.23.3
26.529.8
Auto14.0
Teleop18.0
End1.2
Second
9566
#14
13.40.2
7.67.7
Auto3.1
Teleop9.3
End1.0
red by 1.8
3875
#25
11.63.3
5.48.7
Auto3.8
Teleop6.3
End1.5
Third
9754
#31
4.40.2
3.53.6
Auto2.3
Teleop2.0
End0.1
blue by 5.2
6538
#15
9.63.3
7.310.7
Auto5.7
Teleop3.5
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
10%Melody oddsMissed24%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
6%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsMissed