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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions414020305060704923

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
19.30.3
13.112.7
Auto5.7
Teleop12.0
End1.5
red by 3.4
15.91.6
14.212.6
Auto5.3
Teleop7.9
End2.6
Second
9566
#14
13.49.0
17.88.8
Auto3.1
Teleop9.3
End1.0
red by 4.1
201
#27
9.31.6
13.912.3
Auto3.7
Teleop4.0
End1.5
Third
5462
#26
9.80.3
14.714.3
Auto4.2
Teleop4.7
End0.8
red by 5.3
9754
#31
4.40.6
7.07.6
Auto2.3
Teleop2.0
End0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
22%Melody oddsMissed22%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
11%Ensemble oddsMissed11%Ensemble oddsMissed