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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions40521020306070803159

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9208
#12
19.80.7
13.813.1
Auto8.8
Teleop8.1
End2.9
blue by 13.4
33.21.5
19.721.2
Auto14.0
Teleop18.0
End1.2
Second
4325
#11
16.40.7
12.611.9
Auto8.1
Teleop7.0
End1.3
blue by 7.2
302
#6
23.61.5
18.219.6
Auto10.1
Teleop10.8
End2.8
Third
4956
#23
14.80.7
11.110.4
Auto6.0
Teleop7.0
End1.8
red by 8.3
9228
#30
6.51.5
8.09.4
Auto4.1
Teleop1.3
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
22%Melody oddsMissed26%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
11%Ensemble oddsMissed12%Ensemble oddsMissed