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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions263701020305060701249

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7109
#18
7.01.4
7.96.4
Auto2.2
Teleop3.8
End1.1
blue by 11.6
8612
#17
18.61.1
10.511.6
Auto9.1
Teleop8.5
End1.1
Second
6588
#20
6.21.4
9.58.0
Auto3.9
Teleop1.2
End1.1
blue by 9.7
15.91.1
12.613.7
Auto5.3
Teleop7.9
End2.6
Third
9754
#31
4.41.4
7.66.1
Auto2.3
Teleop2.0
End0.1
blue by 8.0
12.51.1
9.110.2
Auto4.3
Teleop7.2
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
17%Melody oddsMissed19%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsMissed