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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4536010203040506070805034

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.11.2
13.014.2
Auto11.0
Teleop13.0
End1.1
red by 2.2
22.90.1
14.014.0
Auto6.7
Teleop13.0
End3.2
Second
302
#6
23.61.2
19.620.8
Auto10.1
Teleop10.8
End2.8
red by 10.2
9566
#14
13.40.1
8.88.9
Auto3.1
Teleop9.3
End1.0
Third
8297
#32DQ
3.01.2
6.77.9
Auto2.0
Teleop1.0
End0.1
blue by 2.7
5182
#33
5.70.1
10.610.7
Auto2.6
Teleop2.1
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
26%Melody oddsMissed17%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed9%Ensemble oddsMissed