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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3239010205060707046

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.11.8
17.819.6
Auto11.0
Teleop13.0
End1.1
red by 1.5
302
#6
23.61.3
19.120.4
Auto10.1
Teleop10.8
End2.8
Second
7809
#21
6.71.8
6.38.0
Auto2.7
Teleop2.6
End1.3
blue by 4.2
9758
#28
10.91.2
8.09.2
Auto3.8
Teleop6.6
End0.5
Third
9228
#30
6.51.6
6.07.7
Auto4.1
Teleop1.3
End1.1
blue by 0.5
7109
#18
7.01.3
7.38.6
Auto2.2
Teleop3.8
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
16%Melody oddsMissed9%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
12%Ensemble oddsEarned13%Ensemble oddsMissed