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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions593920801004257

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33.21.6
29.828.2
Auto14.0
Teleop18.0
End1.2
red by 5.7
27.51.6
26.227.8
Auto8.2
Teleop18.2
End1.0
Second
12.51.5
11.810.4
Auto4.3
Teleop7.2
End1.0
red by 5.8
7814
#19
6.71.5
9.811.3
Auto3.8
Teleop1.3
End1.6
Third
5182
#33
5.71.5
9.58.0
Auto2.6
Teleop2.1
End1.0
red by 2.7
8297
#32
3.01.5
1.63.1
Auto2.0
Teleop1.0
End0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
32%Melody oddsMissed32%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed12%Ensemble oddsMissed