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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions30320204060801001203256

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8612
#17
18.60.5
15.816.3
Auto9.1
Teleop8.5
End1.1
red by 3.9
4956
#23
14.81.3
12.513.7
Auto6.0
Teleop7.0
End1.8
Second
7809
#21
6.70.5
8.08.5
Auto2.7
Teleop2.6
End1.3
blue by 6.7
9566
#14
13.41.3
7.79.0
Auto3.1
Teleop9.3
End1.0
Third
9754
#31
4.40.5
3.64.1
Auto2.3
Teleop2.0
End0.1
blue by 5.9
5314
#13
10.41.3
8.69.9
Auto3.2
Teleop6.8
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
11%Melody oddsMissed8%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
16%Ensemble oddsMissed5%Ensemble oddsMissed