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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3949102030607080904549

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
19.31.0
13.514.5
Auto5.7
Teleop12.0
End1.5
blue by 3.6
22.90.6
18.519.1
Auto6.7
Teleop13.0
End3.2
Second
4325
#11
16.40.9
14.815.7
Auto8.1
Teleop7.0
End1.3
red by 0.5
15.90.6
15.816.4
Auto5.3
Teleop7.9
End2.6
Third
4337
#29
8.60.9
7.98.9
Auto3.5
Teleop4.7
End0.5
red by 1.6
7109
#18
7.00.6
8.69.2
Auto2.2
Teleop3.8
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
16%Melody oddsEarned21%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
5%Ensemble oddsMissed16%Ensemble oddsEarned