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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions22480103040607080654

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6538
#15
9.61.8
10.78.9
Auto5.7
Teleop3.5
End0.4
blue by 15.5
25.11.4
19.621.0
Auto11.0
Teleop13.0
End1.1
Second
201
#27
9.31.8
8.87.0
Auto3.7
Teleop4.0
End1.5
blue by 10.5
9208
#12
19.81.4
14.916.3
Auto8.8
Teleop8.1
End2.9
Third
7810
#34
0.51.8
3.51.8
Auto-1.1
Teleop0.9
End0.7
blue by 5.7
6588
#20
6.21.5
5.77.2
Auto3.9
Teleop1.2
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
12%Melody oddsMissed18%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed17%Ensemble oddsMissed