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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions43340102030506070804739

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
302
#6
23.61.0
20.421.3
Auto10.1
Teleop10.8
End2.8
red by 11.9
3452
#16
11.80.7
11.812.5
Auto4.1
Teleop6.8
End0.9
Second
5535
#22
13.00.9
9.09.9
Auto4.9
Teleop6.3
End1.8
red by 1.5
4983
#24
11.50.7
9.510.2
Auto4.6
Teleop6.4
End0.6
Third
3875
#25
11.60.9
8.79.7
Auto3.8
Teleop6.3
End1.5
red by 1.8
5462
#26
9.80.8
10.611.4
Auto4.2
Teleop4.7
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
14%Melody oddsMissed10%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed5%Ensemble oddsMissed