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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions30490204060801001043

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7109
#18
7.01.8
9.27.4
Auto2.2
Teleop3.8
End1.1
blue by 20.5
27.50.1
27.827.8
Auto8.2
Teleop18.2
End1.0
Second
7814
#19
6.71.8
11.39.4
Auto3.8
Teleop1.3
End1.6
blue by 4.9
3875
#25
11.60.1
9.79.6
Auto3.8
Teleop6.3
End1.5
Third
7809
#21
6.71.8
8.56.7
Auto2.7
Teleop2.6
End1.3
red by 2.2
9754
#31
4.40.1
4.14.0
Auto2.3
Teleop2.0
End0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
9%Melody oddsMissed49%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
18%Ensemble oddsMissed11%Ensemble oddsMissed