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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions444701001502002504859

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33.20.8
28.229.0
Auto14.0
Teleop18.0
End1.2
red by 14.6
8612
#17
18.61.6
16.317.9
Auto9.1
Teleop8.5
End1.1
Second
9758
#28
10.90.7
9.29.9
Auto3.8
Teleop6.6
End0.5
blue by 5.6
4325
#11
16.41.6
15.717.3
Auto8.1
Teleop7.0
End1.3
Third
8297
#32
3.00.7
3.13.8
Auto2.0
Teleop1.0
End0.1
blue by 8.5
4983
#24
11.51.6
10.211.8
Auto4.6
Teleop6.4
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
28%Melody oddsMissed29%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
5%Ensemble oddsMissed7%Ensemble oddsMissed