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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions413402060803732

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4956
#23
14.80.0
13.713.8
Auto6.0
Teleop7.0
End1.8
red by 0.2
573
#9
14.60.5
15.715.3
Auto4.7
Teleop8.4
End1.5
Second
12.50.0
10.410.4
Auto4.3
Teleop7.2
End1.0
red by 3.9
4337
#29
8.60.5
8.98.4
Auto3.5
Teleop4.7
End0.5
Third
3452
#16
11.80.0
12.512.6
Auto4.1
Teleop6.8
End0.9
red by 5.5
6588
#20
6.20.5
7.26.7
Auto3.9
Teleop1.2
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
6%Melody oddsMissed27%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
4%Ensemble oddsMissed4%Ensemble oddsMissed