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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5838020805240

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
302
#6
23.60.2
21.721.9
Auto10.1
Teleop10.8
End2.8
red by 5.0
8612
#17
18.60.3
17.918.2
Auto9.1
Teleop8.5
End1.1
Second
7174
#10
19.30.2
17.918.1
Auto8.4
Teleop8.2
End2.6
red by 6.2
5535
#22
13.00.3
12.412.7
Auto4.9
Teleop6.3
End1.8
Third
12.50.2
10.410.6
Auto4.3
Teleop7.2
End1.0
red by 6.3
6588
#20
6.20.3
6.77.0
Auto3.9
Teleop1.2
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
6%Melody oddsMissed26%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
6%Ensemble oddsEarned6%Ensemble oddsMissed