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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions662004060801001208214

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33.22.0
31.733.7
Auto14.0
Teleop18.0
End1.2
red by 24.6
4337
#29
8.60.8
9.38.5
Auto3.5
Teleop4.7
End0.5
Second
22.91.9
19.921.8
Auto6.7
Teleop13.0
End3.2
red by 16.4
9228
#30
6.50.8
7.06.2
Auto4.1
Teleop1.3
End1.1
Third
9754
#31
4.41.9
2.64.4
Auto2.3
Teleop2.0
End0.1
blue by 1.3
5182
#33
5.70.8
7.36.5
Auto2.6
Teleop2.1
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
50%Melody oddsEarned14%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
17%Ensemble oddsMissed8%Ensemble oddsMissed