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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions34460102030405060703247

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8612
#17
18.60.0
18.218.1
Auto9.1
Teleop8.5
End1.1
blue by 5.0
302
#6
23.60.6
21.922.5
Auto10.1
Teleop10.8
End2.8
Second
201
#27
9.30.0
7.97.8
Auto3.7
Teleop4.0
End1.5
blue by 0.5
5462
#26
9.80.6
8.28.8
Auto4.2
Teleop4.7
End0.8
Third
7109
#18
7.00.0
6.56.5
Auto2.2
Teleop3.8
End1.1
blue by 2.6
6538
#15
9.60.6
10.010.5
Auto5.7
Teleop3.5
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
28%Melody oddsMissed11%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
16%Ensemble oddsMissed13%Ensemble oddsMissed