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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions403102060801003544

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9208
#12
19.80.0
20.020.0
Auto8.8
Teleop8.1
End2.9
red by 0.5
7174
#10
19.31.1
18.219.3
Auto8.4
Teleop8.2
End2.6
Second
6538
#15
9.60.0
10.510.5
Auto5.7
Teleop3.5
End0.4
blue by 0.1
5462
#26
9.81.2
8.810.0
Auto4.2
Teleop4.7
End0.8
Third
9754
#31
4.40.0
4.44.4
Auto2.3
Teleop2.0
End0.1
red by 1.4
8297
#32
3.01.1
1.93.0
Auto2.0
Teleop1.0
End0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
21%Melody oddsMissed9%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsMissed