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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions47382060806844

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
19.31.3
18.219.5
Auto5.7
Teleop12.0
End1.5
red by 0.6
8612
#17
18.60.3
18.118.4
Auto9.1
Teleop8.5
End1.1
Second
15.91.2
14.515.7
Auto5.3
Teleop7.9
End2.6
red by 4.3
3875
#25
11.60.3
11.111.4
Auto3.8
Teleop6.3
End1.5
Third
5314
#13
10.41.2
9.110.3
Auto3.2
Teleop6.8
End0.4
red by 3.9
9228
#30
6.50.3
6.26.5
Auto4.1
Teleop1.3
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
45%Melody oddsEarned25%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
5%Ensemble oddsMissed7%Ensemble oddsMissed