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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions375502060801004752

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.90.9
21.822.7
Auto6.7
Teleop13.0
End3.2
blue by 4.6
27.50.0
28.528.5
Auto8.2
Teleop18.2
End1.0
Second
4956
#23
14.80.9
13.914.8
Auto6.0
Teleop7.0
End1.8
red by 2.3
12.50.0
12.312.3
Auto4.3
Teleop7.2
End1.0
Third
7810
#34
0.50.9
-0.40.5
Auto-1.1
Teleop0.9
End0.7
blue by 6.2
7809
#21
6.70.0
6.66.6
Auto2.7
Teleop2.6
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
20%Melody oddsMissed37%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
15%Ensemble oddsMissed21%Ensemble oddsMissed