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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions49452030406070805646

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
302
#6
23.60.2
22.522.6
Auto10.1
Teleop10.8
End2.8
blue by 1.5
25.10.2
24.024.2
Auto11.0
Teleop13.0
End1.1
Second
9566
#14
13.40.1
13.013.2
Auto3.1
Teleop9.3
End1.0
red by 2.6
9758
#28
10.90.2
10.610.9
Auto3.8
Teleop6.6
End0.5
Third
4337
#29
8.60.1
8.58.6
Auto3.5
Teleop4.7
End0.5
red by 1.9
7814
#19
6.70.2
6.56.7
Auto3.8
Teleop1.3
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
26%Melody oddsMissed32%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
15%Ensemble oddsMissed7%Ensemble oddsMissed