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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3831010205060703351

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
573
#9
14.60.8
15.314.5
Auto4.7
Teleop8.4
End1.5
blue by 1.8
4325
#11
16.40.5
15.315.8
Auto8.1
Teleop7.0
End1.3
Second
3452
#16
11.80.8
11.911.2
Auto4.1
Teleop6.8
End0.9
red by 2.5
201
#27
9.30.5
7.88.4
Auto3.7
Teleop4.0
End1.5
Third
5182
#33
5.70.8
6.55.7
Auto2.6
Teleop2.1
End1.0
blue by 0.5
6588
#20
6.20.6
5.66.2
Auto3.9
Teleop1.2
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
17%Melody oddsMissed31%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsMissed5%Ensemble oddsMissed