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Red41
20114.1
150622.0
60997.9
Blue90
22626.3
571229.2
75986.9
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions69760501001502004190

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1506
#16
22.01.5
29.928.4
Auto9.5
Teleop9.8
End2.8
blue by 7.1
29.20.5
28.729.2
Auto11.8
Teleop14.1
End3.2
Second
201
#30
14.11.5
20.719.2
Auto5.7
Teleop6.4
End2.0
blue by 12.2
226
#8
26.30.5
30.130.6
Auto13.1
Teleop11.3
End1.8
Third
6099
#26
7.91.5
12.911.4
Auto5.8
Teleop1.0
End1.0
red by 1.0
7598
#27
6.90.5
8.89.3
Auto4.1
Teleop2.0
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
43%Melody oddsMissed48%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
13%Ensemble oddsMissed11%Ensemble oddsEarned