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Red88
317520.7
332219.4
3341.3
Blue27
296013.7
481012.7
30219.2
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1086101502002503008827

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33
#1
41.30.9
41.340.3
Auto12.4
Teleop26.7
End2.2
red by 22.1
302
#3
19.22.2
22.420.2
Auto7.2
Teleop8.2
End3.9
Second
20.70.9
25.424.5
Auto10.8
Teleop9.3
End0.5
red by 6.9
2960
#31
13.72.2
20.518.3
Auto5.7
Teleop4.5
End3.5
Third
3322
#10
19.40.9
25.524.5
Auto7.5
Teleop9.7
End2.2
red by 6.7
4810
#17
12.72.2
17.415.2
Auto5.9
Teleop5.9
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
77%Melody oddsEarned61%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
52%Ensemble oddsEarned61%Ensemble oddsMissed